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Impact of the shadow banking system on monetary policy in China

机译:影子银行体系对中国货币政策的影响

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摘要

The shadow banking system in China has its own characteristics compared to conventional commercial banks and the foreign shadow banking system. Its emergence is important to the economic development and financial system in China. However, it also challenges the implementation of monetary policy and regulation. China is in the economic shunt period and their monetary policy system is somewhat lagging behind the advanced economic system. This paper is therefore designed to figure out the impacts of the shadow banking system on monetary policy. After analysis of SVAR model, OLS regression, trend graph and correlation coefficient, results show that an increase in the growth rate of the shadow banking system would affect the monetary policy by increasing money supply and the value of CPI. Moreover, the implementation of easy or tight monetary policy by increasing or decreasing the benchmark interest rate would not be able to achieve the original goals due to the activities of the shadow banking system. It is suggested that the Chinese authorities should follow the market requirement to improve the monetary policy system by means of supervision and regulation on the shadow banking system which would the monetary policy effect.
机译:与传统的商业银行和国外的影子银行系统相比,中国的影子银行系统具有自己的特点。它的出现对中国的经济发展和金融体系具有重要意义。但是,这也对货币政策和法规的实施提出了挑战。中国正处于经济分流时期,其货币政策体系在某种程度上落后于先进的经济体系。因此,本文旨在分析影子银行体系对货币政策的影响。通过对SVAR模型,OLS回归,趋势图和相关系数的分析,结果表明,影子银行体系增长率的提高会通过增加货币供应量和CPI的值来影响货币政策。此外,由于影子银行系统的活动,通过提高或降低基准利率实施宽松或紧缩的货币政策将无法实现最初的目标。建议中国当局应根据市场需求,通过对影子银行体系的监督和监管来完善货币政策体系,这将对货币政策产生影响。

著录项

  • 作者

    Haisen, H; Yazdifar, H;

  • 作者单位
  • 年度 2015
  • 总页数
  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 en
  • 中图分类

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